Apr 7, 2020 9:38 PM -
Quebec public health officials are projecting that COVID-19 will cause 1,263 deaths in the province by the end of April under the most optimistic scenario and 8,860 deaths under the most pessimistic.
They say the reality will likely fall in between the two, and much closer to the optimistic forecast than the pessimistic one.
The modelling projects the pandemic will peak in Quebec on around April 18.
The optimistic scenario is based on the experience of Portugal in combating the novel coronavirus while the pessimistic one is based on Italy.